Prompt: What is the real problem with China and international trade? Why is this such a dilemma? Do some digging and determine what steps, if any, the U.S. and other countries have taken to address the concern.
The American people have had the wool pulled over their eyes during this past election season. The presidential election is one of the most publicized recurring events in history (especially with the advent of modern social media). Politicians (and their teams of speech-writers and debate-preppers) have honed their skills in deception and craftiness. The issue with the exchange rate between the dollar and the yuan has been relevant for years, but this past election, we saw both candidates, while on the international stage, pledging to label China as a “currency manipulator” and a cheater. Was this really the issue, or was this simply an easy target for political fodder?
As pointed out in the article, the real exchange rate between the US and China may be able to right itself within two years. The artificial undervaluation will soon be gone, mostly due to inflation rates (higher in China than in the US) and worldwide political pressure. So why make this an issue? My personal opinion (for whatever it’s worth) is that this issue, if made to seem true, is painful to Americans. It resonates with the American voter (which is really what politicians are after). If a politician can make this issue threatening and relevant, he/she can always point out tough-sounding solutions to drum up support. They can use buzz-phrases like “outsourcing to China” and “cheating American workers” to spark emotions and resentment. At the end of the day, politicians know what they’re doing.
But so do economists. And many of them are saying that this isn’t the real issue. Chinese protectionism and theft of intellectual property, even by the government, are more likely the real problems between the US and China.
Free trade, in principle, is a compromise. It is difficult to have two children play together when one of them makes absolute terms and the other is willing to have a give-and-take negotiation. The US is ready to deal and compromise in order to avoid a trade war with China, while China continues a massive protectionist campaign (note that the US is also guilty of protectionism, but on a much smaller scale. The NYT article referred to US protectionism as “minor league” when compared to China). Chinese leaders have denied this accusation. "We both follow free and open economic and trade policies, reject trade protectionism and work to advance economic globalisation," said Chinese premier Wen Jiabao recently while at a trade summit in Brussels. Most foreign firms working inside China, however, would argue against the accuracy of this statement.
In the past several months (and years), there have been many measures by the US, and several nations in the European Union, against protectionist measures in China. There have been bills which came from Congress (most of which didn’t pass) that would give the US more freedom in dealing with “currency manipulators” and economic cheaters. Some of these measures also called for increased pressure on China from the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund. Pressure from these multi-country international bodies would be more potent than pressure from a single country.
Another example of a sticky protectionist situation between the US and China is in the solar panel industry. In response to what the US Department of Commerce labeled as “improper Chinese subsidies” to US-bound solar panels, tariffs have been placed on Chinese exports in this industry ranging from 18-250%. The Chinese government has called for an immediate repeal, and an end to this price-cutting war. This is only one of many examples that add friction to the US-China trade situation. It appears that the only thing that can be agreed upon is that any trade war with China or the US will only hinder this shiftless global recovery.
In my opinion, the overall solution isn’t going to be a simple quick-fix remedy for the solar panel industry (or any single industry for that matter). We’ve seen that retaliations in tariffs, foreign subsidies, threats and pointed legislation have little long-run effect beyond flaring tempers on both sides of the Pacific. What has worked, as we’ve witnessed, is to have increased, consistently applied political pressures. The US, EU, IMF and WTO all play key roles (especially when they play together) in convincing China to fight fair in the long-run.
Works Cited:
Economist, T. ( 2011, October 15). And Now,
Protectionism. Retrieved December 01, 2012, from The Economist:
http://www.economist.com/node/21532288
Edwards, R. (2012, November 06). US Fear Mounts
Over Chinese Protectionism. Retrieved December 01, 2012, from Procurement
Leaders:
http://www.procurementleaders.com/analysis/analysis/us-fears-mount-over-chinese-protectionism
LEONHARDT, D. (2011, January 11). The Real Problem
with China. Retrieved December 1, 2012, from The New York Times:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/12/business/economy/12leonhardt.html?_r=1&
